I'm Ryan Waggoner. I build things. I blog about how to work harder and smarter to build the life you want. You should subscribe.

We’re in the uncanny valley of advertising


Posted in Misc, Posts, Social Media, Technology by

Android in the uncanny valley
Image by Aaron Webb

I had a good discussion with a friend today about advertising relevancy. It started because we were discussing his concerns about Facebook and how much information they have, like your social graph, taste graph, browsing habits, etc. What I found especially interesting is that his main concern is that Facebook will sell or otherwise leverage this information with the purpose of delivering more targeted advertising. I had always thought that more targeted advertising would be a good thing; better to be shown ads for stuff I actually care about than more random noise like ads for diapers and viagra (about 30 years too early, guys). But my friend pointed out that more targeted and relevant advertising just means more goods and services that he doesn’t really need that he’ll be tempted to buy. I hadn’t thought about this before today, but after some reflection, I think he’s right. But at some point in the future, as advertising becomes even more targeted, he won’t be right anymore. Let me explain.

In computer graphics and robotics, there’s this concept called the uncanny valley. You know how sometimes you see computer-generated images or videos of humans that are incredibly realistic, but there’s something just off? You can’t quite put your finger on it, but it doesn’t quite look human, and the effect is rather, well, uncanny. That’s the uncanny valley. At some point in the past, our ability to mimic humans was so pathetic that no one would confuse a computer-generated human with a real one, not even at a glance. And at some point in the future, we’ll be able to produce images and movies of humans that are completely flawless and indistinguishable from the real thing. But in the meantime, we’re stuck with these “almost-humans” and the result is sometimes downright creepy.

I think we’re starting to reach that point with advertising. Ads in the past were designed for a mass-audience, or perhaps for a niche audience based on the channel in question. But they weren’t designed for YOU. And they were generally shotgunned out in the hopes that some relevant people would be caught in the crossfire. Then came Google and more contextual advertising in the form of search. Now advertisers knew exactly what question you were asking, and they could pay to provide an answer. But that still wasn’t really enough. What about things that people don’t know they should be searching for, because they don’t even know it exists?

So the next step was behemoth advertising networks just watching you, getting to know you as you skipped from site to site, and then using that information to show you ever more relevant advertising. The difference between search advertising and this form is that they’re using your history. Not what you’re doing right now, but what you’ve done in the weeks and months leading up to right now. They’ve built a profile just for you, and they’re using it against you.

That’s why you see ads on Youtube that mention your Google search history, or ads on a random site encouraging you to come back to that site you visited a few weeks ago. It’s downright creepy.

So isn’t this problem just going to get worse and worse until we’re all fed up? Maybe, but there is another way it could go.

What would a world look like with perfectly targeted and relevant advertising? A world where every single ad you saw was immediately relevant and useful to you? Would we even call it advertising at that point? Forgive another bit of creepiness, but that’s almost like a friend giving you advice. What’s the difference between recommendations from a friend and recommendations from a perfectly targeted advertising network? If anything, the friend is likely to be less useful.

And if that’s the future that we’re headed toward (though it might require strong AI), where advertising networks know so much about you that they only ever offer you something you really want or need, is that so bad?

Think of it this way: would you rather hang out with your friend who knows all the latest stuff in a wide variety of areas and is frequently offering you useful advice for your life, or the friend who spends half the time offering semi-useful stuff and the other half won’t shut up about a litany of things you care nothing about?

You should subscribe and follow me on Twitter here.



5 Responses to “We’re in the uncanny valley of advertising”

  1. kid_meier says:

    I think you're missing the point. At least my concerns over this type of advertising have nothing to do with the suggestions being good, but not quite as good as what my friend may suggest.

    It is not creepy because its not quite good enough, its creepy because it reduces your humanity. I'm amazed that you come to this conclusion in your blog post and your reaction would be, "shut up friend, the Google knows better than you"! Really?

    Are you friends simply recommendation dispensers?

    This race to replace knowing what I need or want by a statistical profile is disturbing because I believe it simply accelerates or complements the process of shallowing our personal relationships even further.

    Discussing common interests, recommending new things, even forcefully exposing your friends to new things are very fundamental parts of how we relate to one another. I'm not willing to throw that away because a computer does it better.

    The counter argument is that its not zero-sum, that you can both engage in the old ways as well as embrace our new statistical overlords. Well I don't think thats how things tend to actually evolve. These things change our behaviour in slow and subtle ways; so while I realize it technically isn't zero-sum, I think the effect largely will be. Or at least there is a serious danger it could become that.

    And that is why I think you should listen to your friend. Approach with caution.

    • ryanwaggoner says:

      Relax, man. I'm not saying that this type of hyper-relevant advertising replaces friends. And I didn't say this at all:”shut up friend, the Google knows better than you”. Or anything remotely like it; we didn't even really talk about Google. Perhaps you should read through the post again?

  2. John Doe says:

    I think that the difference between the two types of recommendations that could NEVER be bridged is the following: a friend has YOUR best interest in mind when making recommendations. An ad network has the advertiser's best interest in mind.

    I could probably get a recommendation for a new laptop from a friend or an ad on Google but guess which one would recommend a product that would actually give me the best value?

    • ryanwaggoner says:

      First, that's an unfair comparison, because we don't have this kind of hyper-contextual advertising today.Second, friends don't always have your best interests in mind, and even if they do, that doesn't mean they're automatically the better source of info. I've been recommended many solutions by friends that were inferior to something offered in an ad that I saw later.Your point about the differences in motivation and best interests is true, but I wonder if it would matter as much in such a world. If advertising was perfectly targeted and relevant, then maybe advertisers and consumers interests would align much closer than they are today.Just conjecture :)

  3. [...] wrote a post yesterday about the uncanny valley of advertising, and how we’re currently in this weird area where advertisers know just enough about us to [...]

Leave a Reply

Subscribe by email:
Connect With Me